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Verification begins: ITER passes the transport check; MAST-U misses it

measured
decision
negative
Published

October 11, 2026

measurement decision negative result Entry 42 · milestone M4

M4 asks three different questions: what the networks can be proved to do throughout an input box, whether calibrated intervals cover held-out reference outputs, and how closely the coupled simulation follows the physics code. The owner has chosen the properties and tolerances. This continuation writes those contracts and checks the existing transport runs.

Making proofs reproducible. The owner approved storing the selected models and explicit input boxes with the code, so CI can access them. A hash manifest checks the stored files; it is not a proof certificate. The owner also approved auto_LiRPA, the bounding engine, with input-box splitting. The full alpha,beta-CROWN package remains a fallback if needed.

Copies for the verifier. The new PyTorch exporters reproduce preprocessing, each member network and the physical output transforms. Two averaging details matter: transport averages in signed-log space before mapping back to flux; EC averages raw outputs before applying its physical clamps. Strict relative-only comparison exposed rounding near zero, also present between eager and compiled JAX. The owner approved an explicit mixed floating-point criterion, and 13 export checks pass in each mode: all selected members, random box points, local holdouts, physical transforms and served means, with rtol=1e-12 and atol=1e-12 in each declared output unitC-180. No formal proof is claimed by numerical parity.

Properties written down. six property contracts load; 14 property-validation tests pass in each mode, including malformed-domain, tolerance and output-schema rejectionC-177. The contracts name the model, output units, domain source, statement and owner decision. A loader rejects incomplete or malformed contracts. Passing these software checks means the contracts can be read reliably, not that their statements have been proved.

The coupled transport check. The saved matched runs provide a result without a new compute job. Temperatures live at cell centres; the guard says which faces the surrogate serves. Both profiles are interpolated onto those same served faces before comparing them. The full-profile errors and a conservative cell restriction are also retained.

machine served-face comparison with TGLF result
ITER served-face T_e 7.42%, T_i 8.18%, both passing the 15% limit; whole profile 7.72/9.23%; 34 of 51 final-state faces servedC-178 passes the chosen limit
MAST-U served-face T_e 35.33%, T_i 49.15%, both failing 15%; whole profile 41.51/62.39%; cells with both adjacent faces served give 11.86/23.24%, still failing T_i; 13 of 26 final-state faces servedC-179 fails the chosen limit

The MAST-U result becomes ceiling K-030. Selecting only cells with two served adjacent faces still leaves ion temperature outside the limit. The final-state mask does not count every fallback call during the run. No tolerance was changed.

The owner prioritized MAST-U remediation before further proofs and calibration. The failed accuracy criterion remains explicit, with its tolerance unchanged. The M4 page records the work still required.

Technical details → Verification › exports · Verification › closed loop
Decisions → OQ-23 · OQ-24 · OQ-25 · OQ-26

© Copyright 2026 Vignesh Gopakumar

 
 
Code and first draft by Claude (Anthropic) and Codex, working to a brief by Vignesh Gopakumar, who reviewed and approved this page. How this is built · Tokamak Toolkit home