Vignesh Gopakumar
  • Home
  • Research
  • Talks
  • Blog
  • Tokamak Toolkit

Direct ELU bounds do not resolve the transport proof

built
measured
Published

October 26, 2026

new component measurement Entry 80 · milestone M4

The transport output proof remains open. The earlier optimized bounds were too wide to convert from signed-log units back to flux. We tested whether changing the proof graph could help, while preserving the saved model and its complete input box.

The new graph treats ELU directly. This activation is increasing and convex: a tangent lies below it, and a line through an interval’s endpoints lies above it. The saturated part of each monotone head also has an equivalent expression whose terms stay bounded. This changes the bound calculation while preserving the network’s predictions.

We checked the analytic relaxation and compared selected exports with JAX. The proof runner also requires fresh random-box and held-out parity before each member calculation. The focused validation is 40 focused checks pass in both normal and Tier A modes; lint, formatting and typing passC-269.

The pilot bounded one member per machine before considering a larger run:

calculation outcome
direct-ELU CROWN intersect interval propagation member 0 of each ensemble remains unknown; both processes complete in about 23 seconds, with physical inverse-transform overflow and looser intervals than the earlier optimized runC-268

Both processes finished and retained their training-space intervals, physical conversion failures and source hashes. The intervals are looser than the preceding optimized calculation. This is not a controlled comparison of graph representations: the earlier run optimized its relaxation, while this pilot used fixed tangents.

We did not expand the unsuccessful pilot to the other members. A loose relaxation is not a counterexample showing that the model reaches these extremes. It also cannot supply a finite physical output domain to a guard.

V5 remains incomplete. Next comes improving intermediate activation intervals and optimizing tangent choices before another small pilot. Transport local robustness needs a certified full-box output range for its relative tolerance; EC robustness and preparation of the EC reference comparison can proceed independently. The MAST-U reference limitation and the final certification review remain open.

Technical details → Verification › direct elu pilot
Decisions → OQ-22 · OQ-24 · OQ-26 · OQ-42

© Copyright 2026 Vignesh Gopakumar

 
 
Code and first draft by Claude (Anthropic) and Codex, working to a brief by Vignesh Gopakumar, who reviewed and approved this page. How this is built · Tokamak Toolkit home